The
anti-life forces continue to aggressively
move to lower fertility rates. What
are the undesirable consequences of
low fertility rates (less than replacement
rate of 2.1)?
One,
the western nations are committing demographic
harakiri. They of course can choose
to do that, but why do they insist on
forcing it upon the developing nations?
There are different reasons: to continue
to exploit their natural resources;
to preempt the emergence of large populations
that will threaten their worldwide hegemony.
So they are not only committing suicide,
but genocide. This genocide is driven
by racism, committed by whites against
Asia and Africa. Even in their own nations
like the USA, the black Americans have
disproportionately higher rates of abortion.
And of course, this genocide is diabolical.
Two, western nations will experience
severe economic difficulties, as there
will be less and less workers supporting
more and more older people. What will
that lead to? Euthanasia and assisted
suicide! Just like a contraceptive mentality
inevitably leads to abortion, so the
economic challenges of an inverse population
pyramid will lead to euthanasia. That
will complete the diabolical circle.
Kill the unborn, and kill the "unproductive"
elderly.
Three,
as the population control forces continue
to push, couples not only do not want
children, but they do not want marriage.
At least they probably have an instinct
about marriage being necessary to provide
a stable environment for children. Since
they will no longer have children, then
they will no longer marry. Now in the
USA, 41% of births was to unmarried
mothers. Those are the ones who did
not intend to become pregnant but did
(to their credit they did not abort).
But what is the result of all this?
These children will grow up in an unstable
home environment and become dysfunctional.
With guns easily obtainable, expect
more school massacres.
The
cycle goes on. Destroy marriage -->
destroy the family --> destroy society
--> destroy the world. Satan wins.
Does
the world see this? Apparently the UN
does not. It is still set on reducing
fertility at all costs. And its powerful
allies (US government, EU, int'l liberal
media, billionaire philanthropists),
all cohorts of the devil, are set on
their hegemonic, catastrophic, demonic
acts.
Only
the Catholic Church stands in the breach.
May the Church purge herself of dissidents,
and may faithful bishops and clerics
speak up and lead the flock in standing
up for life.
Fertility
Decline Continues
Economic Consequences of an
Aging Population
By
Father John Flynn, LC
ROME, APR. 10, 2011 (Zenit.org).-
Low fertility
rates and an aging population will present
Europe with a big economic challenge.
This was one of the points made in a
study published by the European Commission
at the start of the month.
The
"Third Demography Report"
found that the number
of children per woman has increased
from 1.45 children, at the time of the
last report in 2008, to 1.6. Nonetheless,
this is still substantially
below the level of 2.1 children that
is required to maintain a stable population.
As
well, life expectancy is increasing,
which will push the trend to an aging
population.
Already in 4 countries -- Bulgaria,
Lithuania, Latvia and Romania -- the
population is decreasing due to a combination
of more people dying than are born and
emigration.
The report also found
that the mean age of women at childbirth
has been postponed significantly over
the course of the last three decades.
The highest age at childbirth in 2009
was in Ireland, at 31.2 years. Italy
was close behind, 31.1, while the lowest
was in Bulgaria, 26.6, and Romania,
26.9. In 13 of the 27 EU countries women
tended to have their children when they
were aged 30 or over.
According
to the report fertility might continue
to increase marginally, perhaps to just
over 1.7 children per woman. At this
rate a large inflow of immigrants would
still be required to prevent the size
of the population from shrinking in
the long run, it noted.
It
is unlikely that fertility will rise
sufficiently to reach the 2.1 replacement
level, or that the aging of Europe's
population will be reversed,
the report concluded.
About 5 million children
are born each year in the 27 states
that comprise the European Union and
over 2 million people immigrate from
outside countries. Births outnumber
deaths by only several hundred thousand
persons each year. With net migration
at well over a million annually this
accounts for the largest proportion
of the EU's population growth.
The
EU nations are now the home of some
20 million people who not have local
citizenship. There is also internal
migration, with another 10 million EU
nationals living in another member state.
In addition around 5 million non-nationals
have acquired EU citizenship since 2001.
Oldest
Beneath
the overall EU population figures there
are significant differences between
the member states. For example, populations
that are currently the oldest, such
as Germany's and Italy's, will age rapidly
for the next twenty years, then stabilize.
Others,
with populations that are younger, mainly
in the East of the EU, will undergo
aging at increasing speed and by 2060
will have the oldest populations in
the EU.
The
report observed that by 2014 the working
age population, in the age range of
20-64, will start to shrink rapidly,
as the baby-boomers from the post World
War II period retire.
In
fact, already the number of people aged
60 and above in the EU is rising by
more than two million every year, which
is roughly twice the rate observed until
about three years ago.
Currently
half the EU-27 population is aged 40.9
years or over. This median age ranges
from 34.3 years in Ireland to 44.2 years
in Germany. The median age is projected
to rise to 47.9 years by 2060.
The
share of the population aged 65 and
over is projected to increase from 17.4%
in 2010 to 30.0 % in 2060
The
result of this will be an increased
burden on those of working age to provide
for social spending expenditure needed
for an aging population.
This is even more obvious
when looking at the projections regarding
the number of people of working age,
between 19 and 65, compared to those
who are dependent, due to their youth
or having retired.
At the moment the EU
has about three people of working age
for every two dependent people. By the
year 2060 it is forecast that will be
almost one person of working age for
every dependent person aged under 19
or over 65 years in the EU-27.
United States
Europe is hardly alone
in experiencing low fertility. In the
United States the birth rate has dropped
in the period 2007-09, according to
statistics published in the March data
brief by the Centers for Disease Control
(CDC).
From 2007 through 2009,
births fell 4% percent to 4,131,019;
and the provisional count of births
through June 2010 indicated continued
declines, the report added.
Birth
rates fell 9% for women aged 20-24,
to reach the lowest rate ever recorded
for this age group, and 6% for women
aged 25-29. Rates also declined for
women in their 30s. One notable feature
of the information was that fertility
rates for Hispanic women fell more than
for any other population group. While
fertility dropped for all racial and
ethnic groups, it fell by 9% for Hispanic
women.
Another
look at population figures came from
data recently published by a private
organization in the United States, the
Population Reference Bureau (PRB).
According
to this the number of babies born in
the United States fell by 2.3% in 2009,
and the number is continuing to slide.
This
meant that the average number of lifetime
births per woman, for 2009 was 2.01,
the lowest level since 1998. With this
drop in births the U.S. total fertility
rate is now below the replacement level
of 2.1 births per woman.
Another
feature they remarked on was that for
the first time in many years the rate
of births to unmarried women declined.
Nevertheless, births to married women
declined even more, which meant that
41% of all births in the U.S. was to
unmarried mothers, an all-time high.
The
bureau speculated that the recent fall
was due to the current economic downturn,
This contrasted with the CDC report,
which said that birth data alone is
not enough to draw firm conclusions
about the reasons a decline in the fertility
rate.
But,
the PRB observed, both the Great Depression
of the 1930s and the hard economic times
of the 1970s following the "oil
shock," were also periods of record
low fertility in the United States.
The
question is, the PRB remarked, is whether
fertility will bounce back when the
economy improves or will the lower rates
become the new norm, as is the case
in Europe and Canada.
Costly
In
Canada low fertility has been the norm
for some time and, as an article in
the April 2 edition of the National
Post newspaper pointed out, this is
costly for the government. The latest
budget figures calculate that in the
period 2010-11 to 2015-12 spending on
benefits for the elderly will surge
by 30%.
This
annual increases forecast will be well
above projected rates of Canadian economic
growth, the article noted. In fact,
the article cited data according to
which economic growth might fall to
half the level seen in past decades,
due to the impact of an aging population.
In
spite of the serious problems caused
by low fertility and aging the United
Nations is remaining still set on its
objective of reducing fertility at all
costs. The 44th session of the Commission
on Population and Development will convene
from April 11-15 in New York.
The
press release announcing this stressed
the need to extend family planning and
to rapidly reduce fertility in Africa
and Asia. Instead, maybe they would
be better off looking at the serious
economic problems that such a decrease
is causing in many countries already.
"For
to me to live is Christ, and to die
is gain." (Phil 1:21)